Feeling the Future, Studies
Standing
Concerns Replication Status
Currently States Three failed direct replications reported by Ritchie, Wiseman and French in 2012, seven more plus a null meta-analysis by Galak and colleagues in the same year, and no accepted independent confirmation since
Daryl Bem's 2011 paper Feeling the Future reported nine experiments using standard priming, habituation and recall paradigms with the time order reversed, so the event supposed to cause a change in behaviour occurred after the behaviour it was said to influence. Stuart Ritchie, Richard Wiseman and Christopher French, in Failing the Future: Three Unsuccessful Attempts to Replicate Bem's Retroactive Facilitation of Recall Effect (2012), ran three independent replications of one of Bem's nine experiments using his own published procedure and found no effect in any of them. Bem and collaborators later published a 2015 meta-analysis pooling ninety attempted replications and reported a small positive effect across the pool. The method throughout is direct experimental replication, and critics of the 2015 meta-analysis attribute its pooled result to publication bias and analytic flexibility rather than a real retrocausal effect. Because the specific, pre-registered replications failed even as the pooled analysis reported a small effect, the replication status is recorded as debunked on the direct replications while the pooled-analysis dispute continues in its own right.
Source Failing the Future: Three Unsuccessful Attempts to Replicate Bem's Retroactive Facilitation of Recall Effect, Stuart J. Ritchie, Richard Wiseman, Christopher C. French